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The 124K Evidence Framework

From 1 January 2027, every ADC exposure on a UK lender's book defaults to 150% risk weight under Basel 3.1. Article 124K provides one route back to 100%. This paper sets out what that requires, what evidence lenders need, and how to maintain eligibility across a live portfolio.

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1. What changes on 1 January 2027

Under the current UK framework, development finance exposures secured by real estate are risk-weighted at 100% (sometimes 50% for completed residential). There is no separate "ADC" category. There is no 150% default.

Basel 3.1, implemented in the UK through PRA instrument PRA2026/1 (accompanying PS1/26), creates a new exposure class: Acquisition, Development and Construction (ADC). The rules are set out in Articles 124 through 124K of the revised Credit Risk: Standardised Approach (CRR) Part.

The impact is straightforward: every loan secured by property that has been acquired or is held for development and construction purposes, where works are not yet complete, moves from 100% to 150% risk weight by default.

What does 150% actually cost?

A lender with a £200m ADC book currently holds roughly £16m in capital against it (100% × 8% minimum). At 150%, that becomes £24m. The £8m difference, at a 10-12% cost of equity, represents £800k to £960k per year in additional capital drag. For a £500m book, the figure exceeds £2m per year.

2. The 124K exception: from 150% to 100%

Article 124K provides exactly one route from 150% to 100%. It applies only to ADC exposures financing residential land acquisition, development, or construction. Two conditions must both be satisfied:

Article 124K(2)

An institution may assign a risk weight of 100% to an ADC exposure financing any land acquisition for the development and construction of residential real estate, or financing the development and construction of residential real estate if:

(a) the exposure is subject to prudent underwriting standards, including for the valuation of any real estate used as security for the exposure; and

(b) at least one of the following conditions is met:
 (i) legally binding pre-sale or pre-lease contracts for the sale or lease of the relevant land or residential real estate, for which the purchaser or tenant has made a substantial cash deposit which is subject to forfeiture if the contract is terminated, amount to a significant portion of total contracts; or
 (ii) the borrower has substantial equity at risk. PRA2026/1, Article 124K(2), effective 1 January 2027

Note what this does not cover. Commercial ADC (ground-up offices, retail, industrial) has no exception. It remains at 150% regardless of underwriting quality. The 100% route is residential only.

Key limitation

Mixed-use schemes will need to be split. The residential portion may qualify for 100% under 124K(2). The commercial portion stays at 150%. The lender must allocate the exposure accordingly.

3. What is an "ADC exposure"?

An exposure is ADC if the property has been acquired or is held for development and construction purposes and the works are not yet complete (Article 124A(1)(a)).

An exposure is not ADC (it is "regulatory real estate") if any of the following apply:

Practical classification examples

ScenarioADC?Rationale
Ground-up new build (pre-completion)YesLand acquired for development. Works not complete.
Commercial-to-residential conversion (during works)YesProperty held for development. Works not complete.
Heavy refurbishment by a developer who bought to flipYesAcquired for development and construction purposes.
Homeowner remortgages for renovationNoNot acquired for development. Primary residence. Potentially self-build carve-out.
Completed new build (all units finished, OC issued)NoDevelopment and construction complete. Reclassifies to regulatory real estate.
Buy-to-let purchase of existing property (no works)NoNot acquired for development or construction.

The classification test is not about the nature of the works (heavy vs light). It is about the purpose of acquisition or holding. A full renovation of a property that has been someone's home for ten years is not ADC. A cosmetic refresh of a property bought last month to sell at a profit is ADC.

4. Condition (a): "Prudent underwriting standards"

The rulebook barely defines this. Article 124B states:

An institution shall have an underwriting policy for originating real estate exposures which shall, at a minimum, require the institution to assess the ability of the borrower to repay. PRA2026/1, Article 124B(1)

Article 124K(2)(a) adds that prudent underwriting standards must include consideration of "the valuation of any real estate used as security for the exposure."

That is the full extent of the definition. Two components:

  1. Assess the borrower's ability to repay
  2. Prudently value the security

The PRA has deliberately left "prudent" as a principles-based term. In practice, for ADC lending, any credit committee would expect this to cover:

At origination

During the loan

This is where the rulebook creates an important ambiguity. "Prudent underwriting standards" is not defined as a point-in-time origination exercise. The PRA could reasonably argue that if conditions deteriorate and the lender takes no action, the original underwriting was not "prudent" in retrospect.

Consider: if a borrower had substantial equity at risk at origination, but costs have overrun by 40% and they have not topped up, is the equity still substantial? If pre-sales existed at drawdown but two buyers have withdrawn, is it still a "significant portion"?

A lender cannot answer these questions without ongoing data.

The framework position

"Prudent underwriting standards" do not stop at origination. To maintain 100% risk weight classification, a lender should be able to demonstrate that the conditions underpinning that classification continue to hold throughout the life of the loan.

5. Condition (b)(i): Pre-sale and pre-lease contracts

The first route to satisfying condition (b) requires three elements, all of which must hold simultaneously:

  1. Legally binding pre-sale or pre-lease contracts
  2. Purchasers or tenants have made a substantial cash deposit subject to forfeiture
  3. These contracts amount to a significant portion of total contracts

The rulebook does not define "substantial" or "significant." This is intentional: the PRA expects lenders to form their own view and be able to defend it.

Evidence required

Evidence itemAt originationOngoing
Number of exchanged contracts vs total units✓ (monthly)
Deposit amounts per contract
Forfeiture terms confirmed in contract✓ (if contracts are amended)
Sunset clause dates✓ (critical: if the build is delayed, sunset clauses may trigger rescission)
Buyer withdrawal or contract lapseN/A✓ (must be tracked to know if "significant portion" still holds)
Completion timeline vs sunset datesN/A✓ (SPI variance may indicate sunset risk)
Sunset clause risk

Many residential pre-sale contracts include a sunset date. If the developer fails to complete by that date, the buyer may rescind and recover their deposit. A scheme running 8 months late (SPI < 0.6) may be at risk of losing its entire pre-sale position. This is why schedule tracking is directly relevant to 124K eligibility.

Pre-lease: how it differs from pre-sale

The rulebook treats pre-sales and pre-leases equally for the purpose of condition (b)(i), but the commercial reality is quite different. Lenders should understand these differences when assessing evidence quality.

Pre-sale (exchange of contracts)Pre-lease (Agreement for Lease)
Legal instrument Exchange of contracts for sale Agreement for Lease (AFL), a binding contract to grant a lease on practical completion
Deposit basis Percentage of purchase price (typically 10%) Months of annual rent (typically 3-6 months). There is no "purchase price" to benchmark against
Forfeiture Deposit forfeited if buyer rescinds (subject to sunset clause) Deposit forfeited if tenant fails to complete the AFL. However, if practical completion conditions in the AFL are not met by the developer, the tenant may walk away and recover their deposit
Repayment route Sale proceeds on completion. Buyer pays, lender is repaid directly No lump sum on completion. The developer holds the asset and receives rental income. The lender is typically repaid via refinance onto a term or investment loan, not from the lease itself
Key risk Sunset clause rescission if completion is delayed AFL lapse if practical completion conditions are not met; tenant break clauses after lease commencement; rental void if tenant does not take occupation

The critical point for 124K evidence: a pre-lease proves income security (the building will be let), not repayment from sale proceeds. The lender's exit on a pre-leased scheme is almost always a refinance. This means the lender should also assess the borrower's ability to refinance, and the likely investment value of a let asset, not just the pre-lease coverage percentage.

What counts as "substantial" for a lease deposit?

The rulebook says "substantial cash deposit" without distinguishing between sales and leases. For sales, 10% of purchase price is a widely accepted benchmark. For leases, there is no direct equivalent. A reasonable starting position is 3 months of contracted annual rent, which represents a meaningful financial commitment from the tenant while reflecting standard commercial lease deposit practice. Lenders should document their chosen threshold and apply it consistently.

6. Condition (b)(ii): Borrower equity at risk

The alternative route to condition (b) requires the borrower to have "substantial equity at risk." Again, "substantial" is not defined.

How borrower equity erodes

At origination, a borrower may contribute 25-30% of total project costs as equity. This is typically a combination of:

As the project progresses, equity at risk can be diluted by:

Evidence required

Evidence itemAt originationOngoing
Borrower cash contribution (amount and verification)✓ (has it been drawn back?)
Land equity calculation✓ (has the site value changed?)
Total project cost vs original appraisal (CPI)Baseline✓ (live, updated on every payment and status change)
JCT variation instructions vs original contract sumBaseline✓ (on each variation instruction)
Current GDV estimate vs originalBaseline✓ (via AVM or updated valuation)
Net equity at risk calculation✓ (derived from the above)
Facility utilisation vs facility limitBaseline
Open banking as equity evidence

Traditionally, borrower equity is verified from self-certified bank statements or solicitor confirmations at origination. This creates a point-in-time snapshot that degrades immediately.

Open banking (via FCA-regulated providers such as TrueLayer or Yapily) allows equity contributions to be verified from live, classified bank transactions. Investor credits and debits are categorised automatically, giving the lender a real-time net equity position derived from actual cash flows rather than self-reported figures. This is a materially stronger form of evidence for condition (b)(ii) than periodic manual checks.

7. The evidence pack: what 124K compliance looks like

Bringing the above together, a lender seeking to classify an ADC exposure at 100% under Article 124K should be able to produce the following evidence, both at origination and on an ongoing basis:

124K conditionEvidenceSource / metricFrequency
(a) Prudent underwriting: borrower ability to repay Credit assessment and borrower appraisal Credit file, PG documentation Origination + annual review
Build programme on track Schedule Performance Index (SPI) Live (updates on every work item status or date change)
Costs within budget Cost Performance Index (CPI) Live (updates on every payment or budget change)
Variation risk (pre-overrun signal) JCT variations vs original contract sum On each variation instruction
(a) Prudent underwriting: valuation of security Independent RICS valuation Red Book valuation report Origination + when triggered (per Article 124D)
Automated valuation tracking AVM / land registry comparables Monthly
Cost-in-place vs drawn amount Earned value from work item completion and drawdowns Each draw
(b)(i) Pre-sales Exchanged contracts as % of total units Pre-sale tracker Monthly or on change
Deposit amounts and forfeiture terms Contract review / solicitor confirmation On exchange + on amendment
Sunset clause dates vs projected completion SPI forecast vs contract longstop dates Monthly
(b)(ii) Borrower equity Cash equity contributed Bank statements / open banking verification Origination + on overrun
Cost overrun impact on equity position CPI-derived equity erosion calculation Monthly
GDV movement impact on equity buffer AVM tracking, comparable sales data Monthly

8. Reclassification triggers

A lender should define clear triggers for when an exposure should be reclassified from 100% back to 150%. While the PRA does not prescribe specific thresholds, we suggest the following as a starting framework:

TriggerIndicatorAction
Pre-sales fall below threshold Exchanged contracts drop below the lender's defined "significant portion" (e.g., 40% of units) Escalate to credit committee. Consider reclassification to 150%.
Sunset clause breach risk SPI forecast shows completion date beyond sunset longstop dates Flag pre-sale contracts at risk. Reassess condition (b)(i).
Borrower equity eroded CPI below threshold (e.g., 0.80) without borrower top-up Recalculate net equity at risk. If below "substantial," reclassify.
GDV decline AVM or updated valuation shows GDV down by more than 10% Reassess equity buffer and LTV. Consider revaluation under Article 124D.
Build programme stalled No work item progress for 90+ days; SPI trending below 0.5 Site inspection. Assess whether underwriting remains "prudent."
Variation accumulation Cumulative JCT variations exceed threshold (e.g., 10% of original contract sum) Review cost plan. Assess impact on CPI and borrower equity. Request borrower top-up if equity at risk of falling below threshold.
Borrower default indicators Missed interest payments, PG called, administration Reclassify. Consider Article 127 (defaulted exposure at 100% or 150%).
Why thresholds matter

When a PRA supervisor asks "what does 'significant portion' mean to you?", the answer should be a number, documented in policy, applied consistently, and supported by data. Lenders who can point to a threshold (and explain why they chose it) are in a stronger position than those relying on case-by-case judgement.

9. When ADC status ends

An exposure ceases to be ADC when "development and construction is complete" (Article 124A(1)(a)(ii)). At that point, it reclassifies as a regulatory real estate exposure and moves to the risk weight tables in Articles 124F through 124I, which are significantly lower.

Evidence of completion should include:

The transition from ADC to regulatory real estate is a significant capital event. A £10m exposure moving from 150% to (for example) 35% risk weight releases approximately £920k of capital. Lenders should have a clear process for recognising this reclassification promptly.

10. Portfolio-level reporting

Individual loan-level evidence is necessary but not sufficient. The PRA will expect lenders to report on ADC exposure at the portfolio level. Key questions a CRO or CFO should be able to answer at any time:

This is where spreadsheet-based processes typically break down. An individual relationship manager can track one loan in a spreadsheet. Reporting across 50, 80, or 150 live ADC facilities requires a system that aggregates, classifies, and flags in a consistent and auditable way.

11. Audit trail requirements

The PRA expects firms to be able to demonstrate their risk weight calculations are defensible. For ADC exposures classified at 100%, this means being able to show:

An email from a borrower confirming four pre-sales is evidence. A timestamped record showing that on a specific date, four exchanged contracts were recorded against a defined threshold, triggering an automatic 100% classification, with the source documents attached, is an audit trail.

12. How Mintstone addresses this framework

Mintstone was built specifically to operationalise the evidence requirements described in this paper. The table below maps each 124K condition to the corresponding Mintstone capability.

124K requirementMintstone capabilityHow it works
Condition A: Pre-sale coverage Pre-sale and pre-lease tracker Records each exchanged contract or Agreement for Lease (AFL) against the unit mix. Calculates qualifying agreements as a percentage of total units. Sales and leases are evaluated separately: sale deposits are measured as a percentage of purchase price (default threshold: 10%); lease deposits are measured in months of contracted annual rent (default threshold: 3 months). Both feed into a single qualifying count. Alerts when coverage drops below the lender's configured threshold.
Condition A: Deposit verification Deposit evidence upload with AI-assisted verification Deposit evidence (bank transfer confirmations, solicitor letters) is uploaded per agreement, whether sale or lease. Verification status is tracked as PENDING, VERIFIED, MISMATCHED, or UNREADABLE. Only VERIFIED deposits count toward the qualifying threshold. Unverified agreements are flagged with the specific reason (no evidence uploaded, amount mismatch, unreadable document).
Condition B: Borrower equity Open banking equity verification Connects to the borrower's project bank account via FCA-regulated open banking. Classifies transactions automatically: investor credits are equity in, withdrawals are equity out. The net equity position is calculated from live bank data, not self-certification. Equity is expressed as a percentage of GDV (from the active RICS valuation) and compared against the lender's threshold (default 25%, or 20% for public housing).
Prudent underwriting: build on track SPI and CPI tracking Schedule Performance Index and Cost Performance Index calculated live from project work items, payments, and the baseline programme using earned value management (EVM). SPI = earned value / planned value; CPI = earned value / actual cost. Both update automatically on every status change, payment, or schedule movement. Configurable watch and breach thresholds (defaults: SPI watch 0.85, breach 0.70; CPI watch 0.90, breach 0.80). Alerts fire when thresholds are crossed.
Prudent underwriting: variation risk JCT variation analysis Variation instructions are tracked against the original JCT contract sum. Cumulative variation cost is flagged in real time, giving the lender a live signal when CPI begins to deteriorate and borrower equity may be at risk.
Prudent underwriting: valuation Three-tier valuation model Tracks Market Value (RICS Red Book GDV), Cost-in-Place (earned value from completed work items and drawdowns), and Net Realisable Value. AVM from PropertyData is tracked against the RICS baseline. A 10% decline triggers a revaluation recommendation (per Article 124D). Valuation currency (days since last RICS valuation) is monitored against a configurable maximum.
Prudent underwriting: covenants 16+ covenant monitoring with watch/breach thresholds LTV, LTC, LTGDV, cost overrun %, pre-sale %, pre-let %, equity %, AVM decline, GDV decline, days to completion, days to valuation expiry, site activity staleness. Each has independently configurable watch (amber) and breach (red) levels per facility. Alerts push to Telegram when thresholds are crossed.
Property type gating Automatic residential/commercial/mixed-use classification Commercial ADC is locked at 150% with no reduction pathway. Mixed-use schemes are eligible for reduction only if the residential portion exceeds a configurable threshold (default 50% by GDV). This gating is applied automatically before conditions A and B are evaluated.
Reclassification Auto-reclassification with full snapshot The risk weight is recalculated on every data change (new pre-sale, equity movement, payment, work item completion, valuation update). Each classification is persisted with a full snapshot of all condition results, the qualification path used, and a timestamp. The complete history is available for audit.
Audit trail Source-to-report lineage Every metric is traced to its source system, calculation method, and timestamp. SHA-256 hash-chain links each record to the previous. A one-click PRA report exports the full derivation chain for any classification.

See how Mintstone evidences 124K compliance

Mintstone tracks pre-sales, borrower equity, SPI, CPI, and market data across your ADC book, with full audit lineage for every classification.

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Disclaimer

This paper is published by Mintstone Ltd for informational purposes only. It does not constitute legal, regulatory, or financial advice. The interpretation of PRA2026/1 and Article 124K presented here reflects Mintstone's reading of the published rulebook instrument. Lenders should obtain independent legal and regulatory advice before making capital classification decisions. Mintstone is not regulated by the FCA or PRA. The 124K Evidence Framework is a suggested approach, not a regulatory requirement or industry standard.